Math: Likelihood and Probability
These sites introduce your students to the idea of likelihood as it describes probability as likely, unlikely, impossible, or certain. Includes lesson plans, interactive activities, and virtual manipulatives. A link to eThemes Resource: Math: Probability is also included.
Grades
 1,
 2
Links

Probability: Lesson Plan
Introduce the concept of probably by discussing the likelihood of being able to do something. This activity allows students to practice prediction and estimation in determining likelihood.

PBS Teachers: Chances Are: Probability: Lesson Plans
Students will describe probability as certain, impossible, and 1/2 certain. NOTE: Material geared for slightly older group, but lesson can be tailored for younger audiences. Click on "Download PDF Lesson" to see the three part lesson.

Why Can't I Win: Interactive Activity
This activity uses a spinner to predict the likelihood of simple events occurring.

What are My Chances: Interactive Activity
This follow up activity to Why Can't I Win? explores probability and ratios.

Explore Probability Activity Sheet
This onepage PDF allows students to learn more about likelihood by completing this basic probability activity.

Virtual Manipulatives: Data Analysis & Probability
These virtual manipulatives allow you to create bar charts to show quantities and percentages, to create pie charts for exploring percentages and fractions, and to work with spinners to learn about numbers and probabilities.

Virtual Dice
This interactive tool allows you to choose from single dice, double dice, triple dice, and +/ dice to use in your lessons.

eThemes Resource: Math: Probability
Theses sites explore the concepts of probability and chance. Includes interactive sites figuring the probability of coin flips, dice rolls, etc. There are several suggested classroom activities that use manipulatives to explore probability. There are also animated movies that explain probability.